Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.871647 5.619772 6.443224 7.416707 8.536127 9.783128 11.277914
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.973706 4.984723 6.191786 7.738745 9.668948 11.998672 15.026079
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.178338 4.291166 5.717872 7.680314 10.310225 13.714840 18.462212
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.800421 4.038474 5.730258 8.209420 11.750920 16.631668 23.879594
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.452232 3.754411 5.639816 8.566040 12.995212 19.454946 29.610085
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.103623 3.402290 5.384955 8.628329 13.804486 21.754695 34.921019
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.724667 2.934785 4.875150 8.207679 13.792981 22.791751 38.428920
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.569158 2.798385 4.860622 8.565120 15.060365 25.996189 45.859780
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.478784 2.755117 4.988595 9.172118 16.821918 30.240064 55.637383
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.341826 2.605395 4.906319 9.389777 17.919341 33.469441 64.067071
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.211572 2.446346 4.781152 9.503870 18.831625 36.468679 72.469461
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.055837 2.213087 4.481440 9.236407 18.969634 38.024720 78.304351
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.905911 1.972601 4.141505 8.856348 18.865231 39.165972 83.633443
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.828307 1.870977 4.067084 9.010880 19.879322 42.685523 94.377369
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.729392 1.707428 3.839268 8.804425 20.097431 44.590259 101.979124
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.699203 1.693456 3.932669 9.319764 21.975936 50.302180 118.804629
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.658697 1.648944 3.950973 9.666076 23.521137 55.489688 135.203919
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.601916 1.556101 3.843862 9.700127 24.337992 59.128431 148.501277
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.521116 1.390466 3.538928 9.206298 23.802876 59.517164 153.979627
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.497561 1.368146 3.582556 9.593158 25.521017 65.582620 174.521864
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.489257 1.384943 3.727429 10.263351 28.065626 74.048246 202.474226
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.460739 1.341995 3.710606 10.500932 29.502101 79.879877 224.321583
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.429900 1.287596 3.655245 10.624798 30.648062 85.105479 245.292028